Blog > Where Morgan Hill Homes Sell Over Asking, Neighborhood by Neighborhood
In the 24 months to October 27, 2026, 866 Morgan Hill homes sold in the MLS records we can read (houses, condos and townhomes, repeat records removed). The typical one sold at its list price, and 42% sold over asking. For houses alone, the typical sale was at asking and 44% sold over asking. Here is how that breaks down across our 6 Morgan Hill neighborhood guides.
The short answer
- Typical sale at asking in 5 of the 6 guides with at least 5 sales; in Jackson Oaks & Holiday Lake it was 1.1% under.
- Share sold over asking: from 35% in Downtown Morgan Hill to 51% in Jackson Meadows & Mission Ranch.
- All 6 guides had 5 or more sales in the window, enough to list here.
- Over asking isn’t the whole story. Where many homes sell right at asking, list prices may simply sit closer to what homes end up selling for.
Next steps in Morgan Hill
- What’s my Morgan Hill home worth? Request an estimate, and ask us for the recent sales on your street.
- See Morgan Hill homes for sale, then use Save Search to get new listings by email.
- Book a strategy call with a Property Nerd.
Neighborhood by neighborhood
Guides with at least 5 sales, furthest over asking first. “Typical sale” is the median of each home’s sale price divided by the list price on its sale record. Each name opens its guide, with live listings and the last 12 months of sales.
| # | Neighborhood | Sales | Typical sale | Sold over asking | Median price | Houses: typical sale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackson Meadows & Mission Ranch | 203 | at asking | 51% | $1.8M | at asking (172) |
| 2 | El Toro | 132 | at asking | 44% | $1.2M | at asking (104) |
| 3 | Capriano & Madrone | 78 | at asking | 42% | $1.29M | 0.5% over (45) |
| 4 | Paradise Valley & Hidden Creek | 142 | at asking | 37% | $1.3M | at asking (109) |
| 5 | Downtown Morgan Hill | 159 | at asking | 35% | $1M | at asking (84) |
| 6 | Jackson Oaks & Holiday Lake | 66 | 1.1% under | 39% | $1.45M | 1.0% under (65) |
Reading it right
- Sale-to-list measures price against asking, not value. A seller who lists low to draw offers will show a bigger “over asking” number than one who lists near the expected price, even if both homes sold for what the market would pay.
- It uses the list price on the sale record, usually the last one, so a home that cut its price and then sold at the new price counts as “at asking.”
- Small samples swing. Each row shows its sale count; a guide with 6 sales can move a lot when one more home closes.
- Condos and townhomes behave differently from houses, so the last column shows houses on their own where a guide had at least 5 house sales.
- Each sale counts once; none falls inside two of our guide outlines. 780 of the 866 sales fall inside at least one of our guides.
Go deeper
How Much Over Asking tracks the same measure city by city with live MLS data, Bidding Wars by Price splits it by price band, and Homes Selling Under Asking shows the other side. For timing, the best month to sell in Morgan Hill shows how often homes sold over asking by closing month since 2012. For price per square foot by neighborhood, see Morgan Hill neighborhoods ranked; the Morgan Hill city guide links every guide. Across every city we cover: Silicon Valley neighborhoods ranked by sale vs. asking.
The Morgan Hill data series: housing market by the numbers · neighborhoods ranked by price per sq ft · ten years of prices by neighborhood · condos and townhomes · house prices by bedrooms · houses under $1.5M · houses at $2.5M and up · the best month to sell · the most expensive streets
Selling in Morgan Hill?
A Property Nerd will pull the closest recent sales in your neighborhood, show you how they were priced and what they sold for, and help you choose a list-price strategy. Call (408) 373-1660 or (650) 383-8606, or book a strategy call. Commissions are negotiable, and we offer bundled services, so ask us what’s included.