Blog > Morgan Hill Home Prices by Neighborhood: Ten Years of Change
How much have Morgan Hill house prices changed in ten years? We compared the single-family houses that sold in the two years to October 27, 2016 (898 sales) with those that sold in the two years to October 27, 2026 (665 sales), using the MLS records we can read with repeat records removed. Across the city, the median price per square foot went from $378 to $664, up 76%, and the median house sold for $826K then and $1.5M now. Prices are as recorded, not adjusted for inflation.
The short answer
- Biggest change in median price per square foot: Capriano & Madrone ($355 to $689, +94%), Downtown Morgan Hill ($371 to $679, +83%) and Paradise Valley & Hidden Creek ($358 to $631, +76%).
- Smallest: El Toro ($394 to $649, +65%) and Jackson Oaks & Holiday Lake ($359 to $588, +64%).
- All 6 guides had at least 8 house sales in both periods, enough to compare here.
- It’s not the same houses. These are the houses that happened to sell in each period, so rebuilds, remodels and new construction push a neighborhood’s number up.
Next steps in Morgan Hill
- What’s my Morgan Hill home worth? Request an estimate, and ask us for the recent sales on your street.
- See Morgan Hill homes for sale, then use Save Search to get new listings by email.
- Book a strategy call with a Property Nerd.
Neighborhood by neighborhood
Single-family houses only, biggest change first. “Then” is the two years to Oct. 27, 2016; “now” is the two years to Oct. 27, 2026. Each name opens its guide, with live listings and the last 12 months of sales.
| # | Neighborhood | Then: sales | Then: $/sq ft | Now: sales | Now: $/sq ft | Change | Median price, then → now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Capriano & Madrone | 76 | $355 | 45 | $689 | +94% | $835K → $1.66M |
| 2 | Downtown Morgan Hill | 113 | $371 | 84 | $679 | +83% | $750K → $1.27M |
| 3 | Paradise Valley & Hidden Creek | 154 | $358 | 109 | $631 | +76% | $789K → $1.41M |
| 4 | Jackson Meadows & Mission Ranch | 185 | $399 | 172 | $689 | +73% | $900K → $1.93M |
| 5 | El Toro | 163 | $394 | 104 | $649 | +65% | $740K → $1.3M |
| 6 | Jackson Oaks & Holiday Lake | 94 | $359 | 65 | $588 | +64% | $886K → $1.45M |
Reading it right
- These are different houses in each period. A neighborhood where many older houses were rebuilt or expanded will show a bigger jump than one where the same kinds of houses keep trading.
- Not adjusted for inflation. Prices are the recorded sale prices.
- Price per square foot moves with size, and bigger houses often sell for less per foot, so a change in the mix of sizes moves the number too.
- Small samples swing. Every row shows its sale counts.
- Past change isn’t a forecast, and a bigger rise doesn’t mean one neighborhood is a better choice than another.
- Each sale counts once; none falls inside two of our guide outlines.
Go deeper
The Home Price History charts city-wide prices since 2012, and the Then & Now Calculator shows what a past purchase price would be today if it had moved with the city’s median price per square foot. For the current picture by neighborhood, see Morgan Hill neighborhoods ranked by price per square foot and where homes sell over asking; the Morgan Hill city guide links every guide. Condos and townhomes have their own post: Morgan Hill condo and townhome prices. Across every city we cover: Silicon Valley home prices by neighborhood, ten years apart.
The Morgan Hill data series: housing market by the numbers · neighborhoods ranked by price per sq ft · where homes sell over asking · condos and townhomes · house prices by bedrooms · houses under $1.5M · houses at $2.5M and up · the best month to sell · the most expensive streets
Selling in Morgan Hill?
A Property Nerd will pull the closest recent sales to your home, including houses like yours that sold years ago and again recently, and walk you through what they say about price. Call (408) 373-1660 or (650) 383-8606, or book a strategy call. Commissions are negotiable, and we offer bundled services, so ask us what’s included.