Blog > Where San Mateo Homes Sell Over Asking: By Price Range and Size (2026)

Where San Mateo Homes Sell Over Asking: By Price Range and Size (2026)

by Eric & Janelle Boyenga

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Do San Mateo homes still sell over asking? In the last 12 months, the typical San Mateo house closed 9.1% over asking, and 75% sold for more than their list price. That’s against 4.7% over asking the year before. But it depends on the price and the size: over the last 24 months, houses at $3M–$3.5M were bid up the most (10.4% over asking), and houses at $3.5M and up the least (4.4% over asking). Here’s every range with at least 12 sales. We’re the Property Nerds, so the numbers come from real sales.

The short answer

  • Houses, last 12 months: typical sale 9.1% over asking; 75% sold over asking. The year before: 4.7% over asking, 68% over.
  • Hottest price range, by the typical sale: $3M–$3.5M, typical sale 10.4% over asking, 78% over asking.
  • Hottest size, by the typical sale: houses of 1,500–2,000 sq ft, typical sale 8.7% over asking.
  • Condos and townhomes, last 12 months: typical sale 0.9% under asking; 29% over asking.

Infographic: where San Mateo houses sell over asking, last 24 months, by price range: $1M–$1.5M 64% over asking, typical sale 4.7% over asking; $1.5M–$2M 73% over asking, typical sale 6% over asking; $2M–$2.5M 78% over asking, typical sale 9.1% over asking; $2.5M–$3M 71% over asking, typical sale 6.4% over asking; $3M–$3.5M 78% over asking, typical sale 10.4% over asking; $3.5M and up 63% over asking, typical sale 4.4% over asking.
Tap the graphic to open it full size.

Buying or selling in San Mateo?

By price range

House sales in the last 24 months (October 28, 2024 to October 27, 2026). “Typical sale” is the median of sale price against list price.

Price rangeSalesTypical saleSold over askingMedian priceLiving area
$1M–$1.5M1504.7% over asking64%$1.32M1,100 sq ft
$1.5M–$2M2716% over asking73%$1.74M1,440 sq ft
$2M–$2.5M2099.1% over asking78%$2.25M1,750 sq ft
$2.5M–$3M1646.4% over asking71%$2.7M2,030 sq ft
$3M–$3.5M7910.4% over asking78%$3.15M2,500 sq ft
$3.5M and up984.4% over asking63%$4M2,940 sq ft

By house size

House sales in the last 24 months (October 28, 2024 to October 27, 2026); sizes with fewer than 12 sales are left out:

Living areaSalesTypical saleSold over askingMedian price
Under 1,500 sq ft3266.7% over asking78%$1.57M
1,500–2,000 sq ft3148.7% over asking74%$2.2M
2,000–2,500 sq ft1694.8% over asking69%$2.65M
2,500–3,000 sq ft1063.5% over asking62%$3.15M
3,000–4,000 sq ft560.1% over asking52%$4M

This year against last year

Last 12 monthsThe 12 months before
Houses: typical sale9.1% over asking4.7% over asking
Houses: sold over asking75%68%
Houses: median price$2.23M$2.07M
Condos and townhomes: typical sale0.9% under asking0.7% under asking
Condos and townhomes: sold over asking29%32%

What it means for pricing

  • Over asking isn’t the same as overpaying. With 75% of San Mateo houses selling over asking, a sale over asking can still be at market value: what matters is how the price compares with recent sales of similar homes nearby.
  • Read the range you’re in. Houses at $3M–$3.5M and houses at $3.5M and up face different buyers and different competition.
  • Buyers: use the “typical sale” for your range and size as a starting point, then look at the last few sales on the street.
  • Sellers: strategy matters as much as the number. See how much over asking homes sell for and our over-asking tool.

San Mateo against eight other San Mateo County cities

The last 12 months (October 28, 2025 to October 27, 2026), against the 12 months before. Condos and townhomes are shown where a city had at least 50 sales in each year.

CityTypical house saleHouses over askingYear beforeCondos and townhomes
San Mateo9.1% over asking75%4.7% over asking0.9% under asking
Redwood City4.3% over asking70%1.5% over asking1.5% under asking
Daly City10% over asking78%7% over asking0.2% over asking
Menlo Park2.4% over asking60%0.5% over askingat asking
San Carlos3.5% over asking64%3.4% over askingat asking
South San Francisco8.6% over asking83%7% over asking0.2% over asking
San Bruno7.3% over asking78%3.6% over asking0.9% under asking
Burlingame5.4% over asking66%2.7% over askingtoo few sales
Belmont3.4% over asking67%5.8% over askingtoo few sales

Condos and townhomes by price

Condo and townhome sales in the last 24 months (October 28, 2024 to October 27, 2026); ranges with fewer than 10 sales are left out:

Price rangeSalesTypical saleSold over askingLiving area
Under $500K523.9% under asking2%690 sq ft
$500K–$750K1511.8% under asking17%860 sq ft
$750K–$1M1300.3% under asking26%1,150 sq ft
$1M–$1.25M75at asking40%1,370 sq ft
$1.25M–$1.5M76at asking41%1,600 sq ft
$1.5M–$1.75M361.6% over asking64%1,680 sq ft
$1.75M and up441.1% over asking61%2,170 sq ft

Questions we get

Do San Mateo homes sell over asking?

Yes, most houses do: 75% sold over list price in the last 12 months, and the typical one closed 9.1% over asking. Condos and townhomes: 29% over, typically 0.9% under asking.

Which San Mateo homes sell furthest over asking?

By price, houses at $3M–$3.5M (10.4% over asking typical). By size, houses of 1,500–2,000 sq ft (8.7% over asking).

Is the San Mateo market hotter or cooler than last year?

Hotter, by the bidding: for San Mateo houses, the typical sale went from 4.7% over asking to 9.1% over asking, the share sold over asking from 68% to 75%, and the median price from $2.07M to $2.23M.

How we counted

Closed sales reported to the MLS and read through the IDX feeds that power our home search, one record per sale with a usable living area and map position, the same rules as our city price posts. Houses are MLS property type “single family home”; condos include townhomes. Sale price is compared with the final list price, so a home that was cut before selling is measured against its last price. Price and size ranges use the last 24 months (October 28, 2024 to October 27, 2026) and leave out ranges with fewer than 12 sales; the city figures use the last 12 months (October 28, 2025 to October 27, 2026) and the 12 months before. Past sales aren’t a forecast or the value of any one home, and nothing here is financial, tax or legal advice.

Go deeper

where San Mateo homes sell over asking, neighborhood by neighborhood, the best month to sell in San Mateo and the home features that start bidding wars.

More San Mateo numbers from the Property Nerds

Talk to a Property Nerd

We’re the Property Nerds at Compass, recognized as NextGenAgents by a national real estate portal. We’ll pull the sales that matter for your home and your plans, and walk you through what they mean. Call (408) 373-1660 or (650) 383-8606, or book a strategy call. Commissions are negotiable, and we offer bundled services, so ask us what’s included.

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